for foresight methods developed and refined over several decades’ work. The model encompasses framing the problem or issue; surfacing current assumptions; scanning for weak signals of emerging change; mapping the system context of the issue; selecting change drivers with potential for greatest impact on the issue; developing scenarios; and using the scenarios and the system map to test assumptions, identify challenges, and suggest responses. This comprehensive, integrated approach to foresight studies lacks only a process component for including images of preferred futures, or visions. Inventorying and articulating images of preferred futures with regard to an issue or problem can help clarify and negotiate conflicting goals within an organization, community, or society. This report suggests methods to fill the gap in PHC’s foresight model with visioning processes that build on methods PHC already uses.
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